Ukraine has launched a renewed cross-border offensive in Russia’s Kursk region, aiming to bolster its territorial gains ahead of potential peace negotiations. This escalation comes as U.S. President-elect Donald Trump reiterates his intention to end the conflict swiftly once he takes office.
Reports of the offensive began circulating over the weekend, with unverified footage shared by Russian military bloggers showing a convoy of Ukrainian tanks and armoured vehicles advancing toward the village of Berdin. This village lies just beyond the territory currently controlled by Ukraine in the Kursk region.
Kyiv has not officially confirmed the new operation. However, Andriy Yermak, head of the Ukrainian presidential office, hinted at progress, stating, “Kursk region, good news. Russia is getting what it deserves.” Meanwhile, Andrii Kovalenko, head of Ukraine’s Centre for Countering Disinformation, confirmed that Ukrainian forces had launched coordinated attacks on multiple fronts within Kursk.
Russian military bloggers, often privy to frontline realities, acknowledged the Ukrainian offensive with concern. Yuri Podolyaka, a prominent blogger, wrote on Telegram, “The morning in the Kursk region starts worryingly again. Yesterday’s failure won’t deter the enemy from trying again today.”
The U.S.-based Institute for the Study of War (ISW) confirmed that Ukrainian forces had advanced into the southern outskirts of Berdin. The village lies northeast of Sudzha, the largest area captured by Ukraine during its initial incursion five months ago. The ISW reported that Ukraine’s forces were attacking in at least three areas: toward Berdin, toward Pushkarnoye to the east, and around Korenevo to the west.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, in his nightly address on Saturday, highlighted the heavy casualties inflicted on Russian and North Korean forces near the village of Makhnovka, southeast of Sudzha. Citing General Oleksandr Syrskyi, he stated that hundreds of Russian and allied troops had been killed in the battle.
Other reports from Russian military sources indicated that Ukraine’s offensive involved hundreds of troops in a heavily mechanized assault. Analysts suggest that Kyiv’s actions could be aimed at diverting Russian forces from their gradual advance in eastern Ukraine, particularly in Donetsk. On Monday, Russia’s defence ministry announced its capture of Kurakhove in Donetsk after prolonged fighting.
Ukraine’s ability to maintain control over parts of Kursk is seen as a strategic advantage in upcoming peace talks. Russia still holds about 20% of Ukrainian territory after nearly three years of conflict. Securing a foothold in Russian territory strengthens Kyiv’s negotiating position as both sides prepare for diplomacy.
Both nations are racing to secure battlefield advantages before Trump’s inauguration on January 20. The incoming U.S. president has repeatedly pledged to end the war within 24 hours of taking office, though he has yet to outline his specific plan.
Since Ukraine’s daring cross-border assault on August 6 last year, Russian forces, aided by approximately 11,000 North Korean troops, have steadily pushed back Kyiv’s gains in Kursk. However, recent Ukrainian advancements suggest a renewed effort to solidify control over the contested region.
During a visit to South Korea over the weekend, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken emphasized the strategic importance of Ukraine’s hold on parts of Kursk. “The positions of Ukraine’s armed forces in the Kursk region are crucial for any future negotiations,” Blinken stated, underscoring the significance of Kyiv’s territorial gains ahead of diplomatic discussions.
As the conflict intensifies, both Ukraine and Russia appear focused on shaping the battlefield in their favour, setting the stage for high-stakes negotiations in the coming months.