Iran is Holding Off on Retaliation Until After the U.S. Election, or Not?

Iran is said to be holding off on the retaliation until after the US election on November 5. However, some other reports suggest Iran could strike before the election, as Israeli intelligence is bracing for an imminent attack.

So, which is it?

• Tehran apparently wants to avoid boosting former President Trump’s chances against Kamala Harris.
• The attack could involve a barrage of ballistic missiles and drones launched by Iran-backed groups in Iraq.

Iranian officials have promised a “harsh” and “unimaginable” response to Israel’s attacks.

• A senior Khamenei aide said the recent Israeli strikes were a “desperate move” that will be met with regret.
• The head of the Revolutionary Guards warned of an “unimaginable” retaliation against Israel.
• Iran has claimed its air defences thwarted much of the Israeli airstrikes, despite admitting some damage.

Israeli leaders are expressing strong confidence following their recent airstrikes on Iran.

• Prime Minister Netanyahu boasted that Israel now has “greater freedom of action in Iran than ever before.”
• The IDF has established new units to enable “repetitive actions” against Iran. This of course suggests that Israel is looking for a prolonged conflict with Iran.